A Ducks Fan's Guide to the 2022 NHL Draft Lottery

The National Hockey League will set the order for the 2022 Entry Draft at tonight's Draft Lottery, with the 16 non-playoff teams eyeing some lottery luck to help reshape their club's future.

In accordance with new league lottery rules established in March 2021, the night will feature two randomized drawings, one for the No. 1 overall pick and then another for the second overall selection. Once the two picks have been determined, the teams will be slotted based on their regular season standings finish.
READ MORE: NHL DRAFT LOTTERY RULES
As the NHL's 23rd-ranked regular season club, the Ducks are slotted tenth in the order heading into tonight's festivities and will be awarded one of the following five picks: 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 10th, 11th or 12th.

Ducks Draft Lottery Odds

| #1 | 3.5% | | #2 | 3.5% | | #3 | < 1% | | #10 | 73% | | #11 | 19% | | #12 | < 1% | | Pick | Odds | | --- | --- |
With its own pick in hand as well as an additional first rounder acquired from Boston on March 19, the Ducks enter the 2022 NHL Draft with multiple first-round selections for the third time in the past four years (2019, 2020, 2022).
Anaheim chose Mason McTavish third overall in 2021, to add to a core of young talent that includes 2020 selections Jamie Drysdale (sixth overall) and Jacob Perreault (27th overall), and 2019 picks Trevor Zegras (ninth overall) and Brayden Tracey (29th overall).

The 2022 NHL Draft Lottery will be televised at 3:30 p.m. PT on ESPN and ESPN+.
Full NHL Draft Lottery Odds
1. Montreal - 18.5%
2. Arizona - 13.5%
3. Seattle - 11.5%
4. Philadelphia - 9.5%
5. New Jersey - 8.5%
6. Chicago - 7.5%
7. Ottawa - 6.5%
8. Detroit - 6.0%
9. Buffalo - 5.0%
10. Anaheim - 3.5%
11. San Jose - 3.0%
12. Columbus - 2.5%
13. New York Islanders - 2.0%
14. Winnipeg - 1.5%
15. Vancouver - 0.5%
16. Vegas - 0.5%
Potential Ducks Outcomes
First Overall (3.5% chance)
The Ducks have a 3.5% chance of winning the lottery for the first time in franchise history and collecting the club's first ever number one overall pick.
Most draft experts anticipate Kingston Frontenacs center Shane Wright to become the top selection at Bell Centre in July, regardless of who is actually making the first pick. Wright, an 18-year-old native of Burlington, Ontario, had 94 points in 63 OHL games this season.

"I'm someone who wants to win every single day," Wright said on the "NHL Draft Class" podcast in March. "My mindset is not to win scoring titles, it's not to win MVPs, it's to win Stanley Cups. I believe that the way I play, my competitiveness and my drive to win is going to help do that."
Wright finished eighth in the OHL in scoring before adding eight playoff points (2-6=8) in six postseason games.
"There is a completeness about Shane's game to which he has the innate ability to rise to the level of play required to get results, whether it's with his speed, his exceptionally quick hockey wits or just competing with a never-give-up approach," added Director of NHL Central Scouting Dan Marr.
Second Overall (3.5% chance)
The Ducks have a slightly better than 3.5% chance to earn the second overall selection, depending on the outcome of the first pick drawing.
Anaheim has selected second overall twice in franchise history, taking Oleg Tverdovsky in 1994 and Bobby Ryan in 2005. Should the Ducks be awarded the second overall pick, it would be the club's highest selection in the 16 years since drafting Ryan.

Unlike the top pick, there is little consensus on who will be selected second with Slovakian forward Juraj Slafkovsky, Finnish forward Joakim Kemell, Czech defenseman David Jiricek, Slovakian defenseman Simon Nemec and American center Logan Cooley among the projected candidates.
Third Overall (<1%)
The Ducks have a miniscule chance at obtaining the third overall pick and would only do so under a specific set of circumstances.
Due to the new league lottery rules set in March 2021, any team that wins a drawing can only move up a maximum of 10 picks, meaning only 11 teams are eligible to select first overall. Additionally, only the winner of the first drawing is eligible for the first overall pick, otherwise it will be awarded to the last-ranked team in the regular season standings (Montreal). Should Columbus win the first drawing and move up from 12 to two, Montreal will receive the first pick. The second drawing would then award the third overall pick.
10th Overall (73%)11th Overall (19%)12th Overall (<1%)
Should the Ducks not win one of the two lottery drawings, the club will almost certainly select 10th or 11th overall.
Anaheim will receive the 10th pick if two of the nine teams (Montreal, Arizona, Seattle, Philadelphia, New Jersey, Chicago, Ottawa, Detroit and Buffalo) with better odds are granted the first and second selections in the draft.
The Ducks have selected 10th overall once in franchise history, nabbing Nick Ritchie with that pick in 2014.
The Ducks would fall to the 11th pick if one of the six teams (San Jose, Columbus, New York Islanders, Winnipeg, Vancouver and Vegas) behind them wins one of the two lottery drawings and moves up.

Anaheim's worst-case scenario is falling to the 12th overall pick, a highly unlikely outcome that would come as a result of aforementioned clubs ranked below the Ducks winning each of the two drawings.
The Ducks have used the 12th overall pick twice in club history, selecting Alexei Smirnov (2000) and Cam Fowler (2010).