Jack Hughes
, the No. 1 pick in the 2019 NHL Draft, should slot into the top six and first power-play unit, potentially making a large impact in his first season.
The past five centers to be selected with the No. 1 pick in the NHL Draft have averaged close to 57 points in their rookie season. The highest total was 69 points (40 goals, 29 assists) in 82 games by Auston Matthews, the No. 1 pick by the Toronto Maple Leafs in the 2016 NHL Draft. The lowest total was 48 (16 goals, 32 assists) by Connor McDavid, the No. 1 pick by the Edmonton Oilers in the 2015 NHL Draft who missed 37 games because of injury. Nico Hischier, the No. 1 pick of the Devils in the 2017 NHL Draft, and Nathan MacKinnon, the No. 1 pick by the Colorado Avalanche in the 2014 NHL Draft, each played 82 games. Hischier had 52 points (20 goals, 32 assists) and MacKinnon had 63 points (24 goals, 39 assists). Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, the No. 1 pick by the Oilers in the 2011 NHL Draft, had 52 points (18 goals, 34 assists) in 62 games. The average of the five players' points per game from their rookie season was 0.83, which equates to 68 points over a full 82 game season.
When compared to the skaters above, it's feasible to expect Hughes to have at least 50 points, with a ceiling as high as Matthews' 69 points in 2016-17. Only one player on the Devils, right wing Kyle Palmieri, reached 50 points (27 goals, 23 assists) last season.