Ovechkin has moved up from sixth to fourth in goals this season by passing Marcel Dionne (731) and Brett Hull (741). Jagr said he believes it's inevitable that Ovechkin will eventually pass Howe too and then overtake Gretzky as the NHL record holder.
"I said that before," Jagr said. "He's got a five-year contract that he signed. I think he's going to do it before that."
Ovechkin acknowledged that chasing Gretzky's goal record factored into the term of his contract when he signed it July 27, 2021. But the 36-year-old isn't looking beyond passing Jagr yet.
When he does, the native of Moscow, Russia will become the NHL leader in goals among players born outside North America. (Howe and Gretzky were born in Canada.)
"Yeah, it will be great," Ovechkin said. "I'm going to be No. 1 of all the European players who played in the NHL. So it's going be a big milestone, a big number."
Growing up, Ovechkin followed Mario Lemieux, who was one of his favorite players, but couldn't help noticing his Pittsburgh Penguins running mate. Jagr entered the NHL as an 18-year-old in 1990 and teamed with Lemieux to help Pittsburgh win the Stanley Cup in each of his first two seasons.
The flashy forward with the mullet became one of the NHL's brightest stars and personalities, using his world-class skill, 6-foot-3, 230-pound frame and long reach to protect the puck and score before celebrating with an emphatic salute.
RELATED: [Jagr's Czech team to help Ukraine refugees]
In addition to being third in goals, Jagr is first in NHL history in game-winning goals (135), second in points (1,921), fourth in games played (1,733) and fifth in assists (1,155). By the time Jagr returned to Kladno, he'd played for nine NHL teams: the Penguins, Capitals, New York Rangers, Philadelphia Flyers, Dallas Stars, Boston Bruins, New Jersey Devils, Florida Panthers and Calgary Flames.
"I think he was great for the game," Ovechkin said. "He was passionate about it and it's fun when we talk about hockey how he's always tried to figure out how he can be better."
That's a quality Ovechkin and Jagr have in common. After Ovechkin dropped to 33 goals in 2016-17 (his career-low in a full NHL season) following three-straight 50-goal seasons, he started working with a personal trainer and changed his offseason regimen to focus more on quickness.
He rebounded to score an NHL-high 49 goals in 2017-18 on his way to leading Capitals to the Stanley Cup for the first time. Ovechkin led the NHL in goals the next two seasons and is bidding to do it again this season for the 10th time in his career, trailing Toronto Maple Leafs forward Auston Matthews (39 goals) by five. No other player has led the NHL in goals more than seven times.
Ovechkin also is on pace to score 49 goals this season and is trying to match the NHL record of nine 50-goal seasons shared by Gretzky and Mike Bossy.
"He didn't look very sharp in that year, maybe two years, but he recovered very well from then," Jagr said. "He kind of adjusted his style and he got back on pace again to score 50 a season. … The game has changed a lot and it's for his good because he can keep up with the speed. He can keep up with the speed easily. He's got a great shot.
"But a huge advantage for him is nobody, I mean nobody, is as strong as him."
Jagr was one of the NHL' strongest players too, but Ovechkin has utilized his strength and size (6-3, 238) in different ways, as evidenced by his 3,228 hits, which are fourth in the NHL since the League started tracking the statistic his rookie season of 2005-06.
Jagr was credited with 187 hits in 706 games after the League began tracking them, but he was on the receiving end of a memorable open ice hit from Ovechkin during a preliminary round game between the Czech Republic and Russia at the 2010 Vancouver Olympics.
Even with that physicality, Ovechkin has been remarkably durable, playing in 1,252 of Washington's 1,296 games (96.6 percent) during his 17 NHL seasons. That's another reason why Jagr believes it's only a matter of time before Ovechkin breaks Gretzky's record.
"Only one thing can stop him: injuries," Jagr said. "But it would have to be some accident or something because the way he's fit and strong, he cannot get injured if just somebody hits him."